- Status: Project phase
In order to initiate innovative solutions to combat and investigate future forms of cybercrime and to equip law enforcement authorities accordingly, it is necessary to analyze patterns in order to identify global developments at an early stage. This could make it possible to predict when certain manifestations will become more relevant in Germany and Europe. On the other hand, future analysis can be used to predict how cybercrime may develop in the coming years in the face of technological progress.
Future Cybercrime I
(Pattern Recognition and Analysis)
Background
A country’s cultural and structural conditions can have an influence on the development of crime, including cybercrime. These include, for example, cyber hygiene, victimization, fear of cybercrime and the acceptance of new technologies. The constant technological change favors a dynamic development of crime, but here too there are stable factors that need to be identified.
Aim
If it is possible to identify patterns based on these conditions and influencing factors, this could make it possible to predict how certain forms of cybercrime, attack vectors or modi operandi will gain relevance or be transferred to other countries. The aim is to develop a trend radar that enables early detection of national cross-border developments in the area of cybercrime.
Disruptive Risk Research
The research project is innovative, but also fraught with risk, due to the lack of data and analyses on the role of a country’s cultural and structural conditions in the spread of cybercrime. The identification of patterns and corresponding influencing factors would strengthen the internal and external security of Germany and Europe.
Future Cybercrime II
(Future Analysis)
Background
Constant technological progress is not only accompanied by convenience, but also ensures that cybercrime continues to develop dynamically, for example by allowing new technologies to be manipulated or used as a tool of crime. Forward-looking studies can help to identify options for action and initiate appropriate measures at an early stage.
Aim
Future analyses, such as trend and scenario analyses, are used to pursue the aim of creating a picture of the future of cybercrime for the next five to 15 years. Cultural and structural conditions in Germany as well as findings from the pattern recognition and analysis project will also be taken into account. This should make it possible to better assess and counteract emerging forms of crime.
Disruptive Risk Research
The cybercrime future analysis serves as the foundation of the thematic focus Cyber-resilient society. The goal is to initiate disruptive research to arm law enforcement in their fight against cybercrime and develop measures to support the cybersecurity as well as the resilience of society to strengthen the internal and external security of Germany.